Why? Scott and Janice Huse, in their 1997 book The Collapse of Evolution, state that It is very significant to note that mathematicians generally consider that any event with a probability of one chance [in] 10^50 as having a zero probability (i.e. Now go forth and feel and act like the miracle that you are., Buddhists have talked of the preciousness of this incarnation. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. The number of atoms in the known universe is estimated at 1080. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis; you are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. If I had 400 trillion pennies to my name, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! You may quibble with some of the Binazirs assumptions above. Ensure you visit this website and get the right details and names that fits your babies. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: 1 in 2000. Why? Now let's say the chances of them actually talking to one another is one in 10. or one in 6.821014, or about 1 in 700 trillion. Take a second and think about that, and put a smile on your face, you fucking miracle you. Tara MacIsaac is an Epoch Times reporter based in Toronto. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Lets say its a fly that moves at about 4 mph. The number of atoms making up the earth is about 1050. But, doesnt that seem a bit low? Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. What impresses me is that at the moment our parents came together to form us, the Creator of the Universe stopped what He was doing to give, to each and every one of us, a soul unique to itself. The odds against 26 blacks in a row are about 66 million to one against; however, previous results have absolutely no effect on subsequent ones. So, the combined probability is already only about 1 in 40 million. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. Now things start getting interesting. dr ali binazir odds of being born. Scientists have calculated the odds of a human being born as at least 1 in 400 trillion. That chain involved every ancestor, all the way back to the original hominids, getting romantic at precisely the right moment to keep the sequence going that produced you. Mathematician Professor John Littlewood of Cambridge University defined a miracle as an event happening with a frequency of one in a million. Now things start getting interesting. Those who say Charles Darwins concept of evolution is hogwash gleefully seize on Borels Law to support their arguments. Because the fact that your baby to be is a miracle is not just a religious ideaits science. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? The learned Frenchman put a number on it10 to the power of 50, written as 1050in order to impress upon the common herd that its members are not mathematicians. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazirs Article on Probability of Being Born. If you assume there are 3 billion women and 3 billion men alive today, that means 3 x 10^14 eggs and 3.6 x 10^22 sperm are currently on the planet, for a total of 1.1 x 10^37 possible pairings. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. So what's the probability of your being born? Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: one in 400 quadrillion. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. Thats a pretty good trip. Those who are brave (foolish?) He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. Thats a ridiculously huge number. I would caution anyone from drawing a religiously-minded conclusion from these probabilities and heres why: While the probability of any one of us existing is very low, the probability that 350 million humans existing in the United States is very high. enough to delve into higher mathematics discover there are many tripwires ahead of them. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. I have one baby so far, but Im still fertile, according to science. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Want to Read. It has over 40,000 names organized into different categories, including Unisex, Boys Names, and Girls Names. This is the probability of you being born at the time you were born to your particular parents, with your particular genetic make-up. Worldwide, there are 2,043 billionaires among 7.4 billion people. Seriously, look around, look up to the sky, take this all in. The Arena Media Brands, LLC and respective content providers to this website may receive compensation for some links to products and services on this website. So he gave us an analogy that helps: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting togetherabout the population of San Diegoeach to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. These links dont impose any extra cost on you, and they help support the free content I provide here. Let's not get carried away here; we'll just deal with the human lineage. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Harvard alumnus and creativity consultant Dr. Ali Binazir tried to calculate the mind-boggling odds of one being born into existence on earth, and came up with interesting results. Be True to YOU (there is no one else like you, if there was they would have been born and not you), Odds of Being Born Infographic by Designer Sofya Yampolsky. dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Dr. Binazir is an author and personal change specialist who studied at Harvard, received a medical degree from the University of California, and studied philosophy at Cambridge University. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. As a comparison, the approximate number of atoms in the known universe is 10. Same to all of us. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. He calculated that an average human could expect to experience such an occurrence once every 35 days. But, the odds of every bridge deal are exactly the same. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Step 4. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. According to author Mel Robbins, scientists have estimated that our odds of being born are about 1 in 400 trillion. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their parents, and so on back to the beginning of human time. You have lived your life. Which ones bigger? Sean said that we have already won the cosmic lottery simply by being born because the odds of that happening alone is one in a gazillion times. In other words, as this infographic figures it, you are totally improbable. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. He looked at the amount of water in the oceans, compared to the size of a life-preserver. Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or about 1 in 700 trillion. It is the probability of 2 million people getting together each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? In other words, as this infographic figures it,. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. You asked for more Brain Yoga, so here are the upcoming classes. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. This button displays the currently selected search type. But on all probability it would. First, lets talk about the probability of your parents meeting. I bet the odds of becoming a millionaire in Zambia, where I lived for one year, is less than 1%. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Consider some of the contingencies and requirements for your existence as set forth by Mr. Binazir. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. Are they gross exaggerations? Then he looked at the chances of them talking, of meeting again, of forming a long-term relationship, of having kids together, and of the right egg and the right sperm combining to make you. How fast does a laden fly fly? By all accounts, you shouldnt even be here. But Im not mathy. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. Onward to freedom! Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. They each roll the dice and they all come up with the exact same number for example, 550,343,279,001. Dr. Ali Binazir. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. So beginning with your folks, your odds of you being born come out to 1 in 400,000,000,000,000,000 or 1 in 4 quadrillion. This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. In it, she mentioned that scientists calculate the probability of your existing as you, today, at about one in 400 trillion (410 14). Get ready to have your socks blown off, ya beautiful miracle, you. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. It was always likely that a living cell would jump out of that primordial soup because the conditions for that to happen must have existed somewhere; and, probably, in several somewheres. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! I met a couple of interesting people at a casual meet-up and the topic of the day was a good life. Our own galaxy, the Milky Way, has as many as 400 billion stars in it and at least 100 billion planets. This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). They each roll the dice -- and they all come up the exact same number -- say, 550,343,279,001. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. And worry and fear? A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. 2023 BuzzFeed, Inc. All rights reserved. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? You are living a life you should mathematically not have ever had. Moreover, the second shot would not necessary run into the red. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. Just go have some fucking fun! For a more thorough discussion of this topic, visit the Tao of Dating and Awaken Your Genius blogs. 3.97 avg rating 549 ratings published 2010 5 editions. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: one in 10. Marcus Aurelius offers wisdom on how to use this fact. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. However, as the astute who do exist will have observed, extremely improbable events do actually occur. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. Otherwise theyd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . First, your parents have to meet, then stay together long enough to reproduce, then conceive you at the exact right time so that the right egg drops (your mother has 100,000 in her lifetime), then the right sperm must make it in (your father produces 4 trillion during the years you could be born). That's 150,000 generations. 2019 Ali Binazir, M.D., M.Phil, All Rights Reserved. And the chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is also one in 10. The fact is, you have a monumentally better chance of becoming anybody you want to be than of even being at all. saving. Step 3. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. You are wonderfully and fearfully made, and God has done a marvelous thing. Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. Thus, my existence depends on a vast number of meetings going just right; if they hadnt I would never have been born. Its maddening to see people worry so much. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. He used a thought experiment to illustrate this that became known popularly as the infinite monkey theorem; this states that if an infinite number of monkeys pound the keys of an infinite number of typewriters they will eventually write the complete works of Shakespeare. Anything with a lower probability than that would not happen, said Borel the numbers man. Step 1. I think that was exactly Msgr. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. Based on the data from the CDC . They agree to within a factor of two! Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. Part of HuffPost Wellness. decision by design review farnam street; dr ali binazir odds of being born; post mortem fingerprint equipment. The numbers are getting plenty huge as it is. So whats the probability of your existing? The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. Thats 150,000 generations. Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. As you aptly point out, many persons losts lots of money at the roulette because they quests mathematically accurate. A fertile woman has 100,000 viable eggs on average. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is. Lets not get carried away here; well just deal with the human lineage. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, "The answer is 500 squintillion," we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Awe and wonderment at merely being alive on even a bad or boring day makes perfect sense. But let's think about this some more. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. (+ My podcast interview on raising your spirits), Staying Sane in Trying Times Seminars, Apr 22-25, WED FEB 19: The 5 Magic Questions What 5000 Womens Letters Reveal About Love & Dating, How often should you call him? That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. We might not all like the cards we were dealt in life, but it is our choice to play what weve been given or to go on blaming our lot which is wanting more power, but giving up any power we already have. Something was dropped and then picked up. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. That probability is low but the presence of super-novae throughout the cosmos is not. Thats a pretty big number, I thought to myself. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. One night, perhaps, the same dream, grown hazy by morning. (This is also known as "consulting" -- especially if you show it all in a PowerPoint deck.). If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. The scientists and Buddhists seem to agree. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? This is also true of your grandparents parents, and their grandparents, and so on till the beginning of time. So the probability of that one sperm with half your name on it hitting that one egg with the other half of your name on it is one in 400 quadrillion. The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. June 5. That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. For the sake of completeness: (102,640,000)(1045,000)(2000)(20,000) = 4x 102,685,007 102,685,000, Probability of your existing at all: 1 in 102,685,000. They each roll the diceand they all come up the exact same numbersay, 550,343,279,001. This is a vastly greater improbability than one in 1050. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. We're about to deal with eggs and sperm, which come in large numbers. Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 102,685,000. Even if they couldn't read them yet. But lets think about this some more. If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of "this precious incarnation." So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Now things start getting interesting. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? They each roll the dice and they all come up with. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Then the probability of Mr. 7 distinct works Similar authors. If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. I gotta say, the two numbers are pretty darn close, for such a far-fetched notion from two completely different sources: old-time Buddhist scholars and present-day scientists., *Illustration of human profile and numbers via Shutterstock, You're one in 400 trillion, or pretty much a miracle. As a comparison, the number of atoms in the body of an average male (80kg, 175 lb) is 1027. Blog Home Uncategorized dr ali binazir odds of being born. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. To that, we could add the probability that the one sperm and the one egg met one another because she wasnt in the mood, but lets not split hairs here. So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. Step 2. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. The moon is about 240,000 miles from the Earth. Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about one in 2000. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . That's a pretty straightforward calculation. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. However, your existence presupposes another supremely unlikely chain of events. On one try.. That's 150,000 generations.