11:03 AM. His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". More Information Location: United States Genres: News & Politics Podcasts Politics News Networks: ABC News (US) Description: - In her first-ever diary entry, recorded eight days after President John F. Kennedy is assassinated, Lady Bird presents a dramatic, cinematically detailed moment-by-moment account of those terrible hours in Dallas, and the days that follow. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. On Thursday, the Supreme Court wrapped up its first term with a 6-3 conservative majority on the bench. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. How FiveThirtyEight Calculates Pollster Ratings. Where the hot sports takes of the week meet the numbers that prove them right or tear them down. We assess the state of American democracy, based on a new survey from Bright Line Watch, a group of political scientists that monitors threats to our democratic systems. The full series is available now on Apple Podcasts (https://apple.co/2QQw8e9), Spotify (https://spoti.fi/3ukYgoq), or wherever you listen by searching "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson." The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. Election Day in Georgia is just a week away, so the crew shook off their turkey hangover to talk about what to expect in Georgias second Senate runoff in two years. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless', Politics Podcast: How The War In Ukraine Could Go Nuclear, Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. @Nate_Cohn: The Democrats are putting up an impressive showing in VA-4, the first special congressional election of the cycle. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. Staff writer at The Atlantic Elaine Godfrey and political science professor Danny Hayes discuss the role local news plays in society and what happens when it erodes. By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. The crew follows up on last weeks Republican 2024 primary draft with its first Democratic primary draft. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. We look at two of this weeks biggest stories -- the killing of Daunte Wright in Minnesota and the U.S. Food and Drug Administrations decision to pause the use of the Johnson and Johnson covid-19 vaccine. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. 2022 Midterms LIVE (Audio Replay POD) - The Heartland POD (podcast He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. What does it take to make democracy work? It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. They also introduce a new FiveThirtyEight collaboration with Ipsos aimed at polling Americans about the issues they care most about in the run up to the midterms. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. With midterm elections in the rearview mirror, Galen and Nate open up the mail bag to answer lingering questions about the results. But you can form your own by listening and learning (and learning how to listen). They also analyze a new poll from the University of New Hampshire that shows the states likely GOP primary voters favoring Florida Gov. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Our Data | FiveThirtyEight In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what to make of the divergence between the conventional wisdom that Republicans will do very well in the midterms and polling showing Democrats leading in numerous competitive Senate races. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views Nate Silver's. They determine whether we live in a free or repres Saturday, February 25, 2023. All. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. The crew digs into why Democrats underperformed in a special election in Texas. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . The crew runs down a list of theories in a game of Buy, Sell, or Hold to discuss what evidence, if any, supports some of these arguments. Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. Politics Podcast: Baby Boomers' Strength Was In Their Numbers. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. Galen Druke and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discuss the messages that Senators sent and whether we were able to glean anything about what kind of Justice Jackson would be. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. [00:00:19] 9 days ago. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. Recent polls have sent some contradictory messages, but the long and short of it is that seven races are now separated by three points or less polling average. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. In the first "Model Talk" episode of the 2022 midterms cycle, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the factors behind that forecast. In his new book "Aftermath: The Last Days of the Baby Boom and the Future of Power in America," Washington Post national columnist Philip Bump argues that many of the fissures that the country is facing today politically, economically, culturally have to do with the Baby Boomers getting old. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. FiveThirtyEight Politics | Podcast on Spotify The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. They also discuss ranked choice voting and the reasons for delays in New York City's final vote count in the mayoral election. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19 The Ticket - A Presidential Podcast comes from the Texas Tribune. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. Podcast-19 - FiveThirtyEight These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. police- settlements. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. How To Create A Podcast Transcript - The Ultimate Guide In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. Hours before we freeze the FiveThirtyEight midterm forecast tonight, it shows that Republicans are in a dead heat for the Senate and are favored to win the House. A bipartisan coalition of ten senators, with the support of President Biden, announced a $600 billion infrastructure plan last week. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne waste district director to retire, come back at It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. They also try to get to the bottom of whether Americans support the Parental Rights In Education Bill -- or what its critics call the Dont Say Gay Bill -- which Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed into law last week. They also ask whether the US is in a recession, whether Andrew Yang's third party will succeed and how the DOJ's Jan. 6th investigation is affecting former President Trump. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah The Johnson & Johnson Pause Shows The System Is Working Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . FiveThirtyEight On The Road - Splash Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. 'Coldest Case' review: Serial's podcast revisits a 1985 murder in The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. 10 Wednesday AM Reads - The Big Picture Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. r/fivethirtyeight. send a tweet. Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded. Best FiveThirtyEight Podcasts (2023) - Player FiveThirtyEight's political content often includes fact-driven statistical analysis. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes : The My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. 2023 ABC News Internet Ventures. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. 2,. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. They also touch on the health of the polling industry and how much Biden's success in a potential 2024 primary hangs on Democrats' performance at the midterms. The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. Glastonbury's new town manager to make $190,000 They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. The crew analyzes new polling suggesting Americans support enforcing a no-fly zone over Ukraine and banning the purchase of Russian oil even if it increases gas prices. Also, CalMatters Politics reporter Laurel Rosenhall and political analyst Paul Mitchell join to discuss the status of the California gubernatorial recall election. 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. If you don't already have iTunes, you can download it here. Dive in and Share your insights! Bot Love was created by Diego Senior. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. 1 min read; Jun 05, 2022; Bagikan : parade of homes matterport . Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts This research library service enables you to: Search more than 2,489,000 U.S. broadcasts using closed captioning; Borrow broadcasts on DVDs; View and Cite short streamed clips; Compare and Contrast perspectives across networks, stations and time; and Place video quotes within your commentary. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. While it appears unlikely that 17 Republicans will join Democrats in voting to convict the former president, the evidence presented could help shape the views of the public regarding what happened at the Capitol on January 6, 2021. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. heritage commons university of utah. By May 21, 2021 0 . Earlier this month, the United Nations' Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change (IPCC) released the first part of its Sixth Assessment Report on the state of climate change globally. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. Accuracy is not guaranteed. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. Reporter Greg Bluestein explains how it happened in his new book, Flipped: How Georgia Turned Purple and Broke the Monopoly on Republican Power, and discusses with Galen what it means for 2022 and beyond. Release date: 24 June 2015 Show more Subscribe and listen Also available wherever you listen to podcasts Google Stitcher iHeartRadio Castbox TuneIn Then the crew explains why they consider four competitive U.S. House districts to be bellwether elections for which party will win control of the House. They also assess whether narratives from the 2021 gubernatorial election in Virginia hold up in light of new data, and debate the hottest legislative topic in Washington: permanent Daylight Saving Time. House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. Since January 2021, eleven states have enacted laws that limit how teachers can talk about race and racism in schools and close to 200 bills have been introduced in 40 states. They also debate whether the AARP is correct in assessing that women voters over the age of 50 are likely to decide the outcome of the 2022 midterms. They also ask whether a new poll showing Biden's approval rating at just 33 percent deserves all the attention it's been getting. FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. History professor Yohuru Williams speaks with Galen Druke about how the protest movement sparked by George Floyd's murder compares with past social justice movements. FiveThirtyEight Politics The Gerrymandering Project: California . FT Podcasts | Financial Times FiveThirtyEight Politics (podcast) | Listen online - Free - No signup They also review a new report from the American Association of Public Opinion Research on why election polls had a historically large error in 2020. Galen speaks with James Acton, the co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, about how leaders and experts weigh the risks of a nuclear conflict. Hosts of the British Talking Politics podcast, David Runciman and Helen Thompson, discuss why the British public and some members of the Conservative Party have soured on Johnson in a way that Republicans never soured on President Trump, despite his numerous scandals. How COVID-19 Affected Tuesday's Vote l FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. FiveThirtyEight - YouTube Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis to tell compelling stories about elections, politics, sports, science and life. They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. The crew discusses what her path to the nomination could look like, given that Trump and Florida Gov. They also ask whether a recent poll that suggested about 15 percent of Americans believe in the QAnon conspiracy theory is a "good or bad use of polling.". They also break down what that means for future cases and what it means for the legitimacy of the court overall. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. They also check in on where the redistricting process stands around the country and ask what the two parties should be thankful for this Thanksgiving. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. FiveThirtyEight Media Bias | AllSides The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At The conventional wisdom is that if former President Trump wants the Republican presidential nomination in 2024, it's his. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They also explain why a dramatic shift among independent women in a recent New York Times poll shouldn't be taken at face value but also shouldn't undercut the poll. Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. Rev. In the main event, former light Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. They also discuss how the country has changed demographically and geographically over the past decade, based on the newly released 2020 census data. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions.
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